Yıl: 2018 Cilt: 26 Sayı: 36 Sayfa Aralığı: 125 - 144 Metin Dili: İngilizce İndeks Tarihi: 08-07-2019

Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries

Öz:
This paper studies an empirical analysis of the causality between education expenditure, health expenditure, and economic growth for the selected eight developing countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, India, Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa, and Turkey) over the period 1995-2012. For this purpose, we employ the Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality test. Our findings indicate that only in two of eight developing countries (Brazil and Mexico) there exists a significant and positive causality, running from education and health expenditure to economic growth. However, we found a significant but negative causality among education expenditure, health expenditure, and economic growth for Indonesia. For the rest of the countries that we consider in this paper, no causality was found between these variables.
Anahtar Kelime:

Eğitim, Sağlık ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Gelişmekte Olan Ülkeler için Bootstrap Panel Granger Nedensellik Analizi

Öz:
Bu çalışma, Bootstrap Panel Granger nedensellik testini kullanarak seçilmiş sekiz gelişmekte olan ülke (Arjantin, Brezilya, Şili, Hindistan, Endonezya, Meksika, Güney Afrika ve Türkiye) özelinde eğitim ve sağlık harcamaları ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisini 1995-2012 dönemi için ampirik olarak analiz etmektedir. Ampirik bulgular, analize konu olan sekiz gelişmekte olan ülkeden yalnızca ikisinde (Brezilya ve Meksika) eğitim ve sağlık harcamalarından ekonomik büyümeye doğru anlamlı ve pozitif yönlü bir Granger nedensellik ilişkisi olduğunu, birinde (Endonezya) ise eğitim ve sağlık harcamaları ile ekonomik büyüme arasında anlamlı ancak negatif yönlü bir Granger nedensellik ilişkisi olduğunu ortaya koymuştur. Diğer ülkeler için ise eğitim ve sağlık harcamaları ile ekonomik büyüme arasında herhangi bir Granger nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilememiştir.
Anahtar Kelime:

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
  • Agénor, P. R. (2012), Public Capital, Growth and Welfare, New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
  • Ahmed, A. & M. Arends-Kuenning (2006), “Do Crowded Classrooms Crowd Out Learning? Evidence from the Food for Education Program in Bangladesh”, World Development, 34(4), 665-684.
  • Albouy, V. & L. Lequien (2009), “Does Compulsory Education Lower Mortality?”, Journal of Health Economics, 28(1), 155-168.
  • Arendt, J. N. (2005), “Does Education Cause Better Health? A Panel Data Analysis Using School Reforms for Identification”, Economics of Education Review, 24(2), 149-160.
  • Barro, R. J. (1991), “Economic Growth in a Cross-Section of Countries”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 407-443.
  • Barro, R. J. (1997), Determinants of Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Empirical Study, Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press.
  • Barro, R. J. & J. W. Lee (1993), “International Comparisons of Educational Attainment”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 32(3), 363-394.
  • Barro, R. J. & X. Sala-i-Martin (1995), Economic Growth, New York: McGraw-Hill.
  • Behrman, J. R. (1996), “The Impact of Health and Nutrition on Education”, World Bank Research Observer, 11(1), 23-37.
  • Benhabib, J. & M. Spiegel (1994), “The Role of Human Capital in Economic Development: Evidence from Cross-Country Data”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 34(2), 143-173.
  • Bhargava, A. & D. T. L. Jamison & J. Lau & C. J. L. Murray (2001), “Modeling the Effects of Health on Economic Growth”, Journal of Health Economics, 20(3), 423-440.
  • Bils, M. & P. J. Klenow (2000), “Does Schooling Cause Growth”, American Economic Review, 90(5), 1160-1183.
  • Bleakley, H. (2007), “Disease and Development: Evidence from Hookworm Eradication in the American South”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122(1), 73-117.
  • Bloom, D. E. & D. Canning & J. Sevilla (2004), “The Effect of Health on Economic Growth: A Production Function Approach”, World Development, 32(1), 1-13.
  • Bloom, D. E. & J. Williamson (1998), “Demographic Transitions and Economic Miracles in Emerging Asia”, World Bank Economic Review, 12(3), 419-455.
  • Boccanfuso, D. & L. Savard & B. E. Savy (2013), “Human Capital and Growth: New Evidences from African Data”, International Economic Journal, 27(1), 55-77.
  • Breusch, T. & A. Pagan (1980), “The Lagrange Multiplier Test and Its Application to Model Specifications in Econometrics”, the Review of Economics Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Cheng, B. S. & R. C. Hsu (1997), “Human Capital and Economic Growth in Japan: An Application of Time Series Analysis”, Applied Economics Letters, 4(6), 393-395.
  • Clark, D. & H. Royer (2013), “The Effect of Education on Adult Health and Mortality: Evidence from Britain”, American Economic Review, 103(6), 2087-2120.
  • Cooray, A. (2013), “Does Health Capital Have Differential Effects on Economic Growth?”, Applied Economics Letters, 20(3), 244-249.
  • Eide, R. E. & M. H. Showalter (2011), “Estimating the Relation between Health and Education: What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Know?”, Economics of Education Review, 30(5), 778-791.
  • Fogel, R. W. (1994), “Economic Growth, Population Health and Physiology: the Bearing of Long-term Processes on the Making of Economic Policy”, American Economic Review, (84), 369-395.
  • Freire-Serén, M. J. (2002), “On the Relationship between Human Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth”, Applied Economics Letters, 9(12), 805-808.
  • Gemmell, N. (1996), “Evaluating the Impacts of Human Capital Stocks and Accumulation on Economic Growth: Some New Evidence”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 58(1), 9-28.
  • Gyimah-Brempong, K. & M. Wilson (2004), “Health, Human Capital, and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan African and OECD Countries”, Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 44(2), 296-320.
  • Hanushek, E. A. & D. D. Kimko (2000), “Schooling, Labor-Force Quality, and the Growth of Nations”, American Economic Review, 90(5), 1184-1208.
  • Hartwig, J. (2010), “Is Health Capital Formation Good for Long-Term Economic Growth? - Panel Granger Causality Evidence for OECD Countries”, Journal of Macroeconomics, 32(1), 314-325.
  • Hoddinott, J. & H. Alderman & J. Behrman (2005), “Nutrition, Malnutrition and Economic Growth”, In: G. López-Casasnovas & B. Rivera & L. Currais (Eds.), Health and Economic Growth: Findings and Policy Implications, Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press.
  • Hsiao, C. (1981), “Autoregressive Modeling and Money Income Causality Detection”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 7(1), 85-106.
  • Hurlin, C. (2008), Testing for Granger Non-causality in Heterogeneous Panels, Working Paper, Laboratoire d’Economie D’Orleans, University of Orleans.
  • Hurt, L. S. & C. Ronsmans & S. Saha (2004), “Effects of Education and Other Socioeconomic Factors on Middle Age Mortality in Rural Bangladesh”, Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 58(4), 315-320.
  • In, F. & C. Doucouliagos (1997), “Human Capital Formation and US Economic Growth: A Causality Analysis”, Applied Economics Letters, 4(5), 329-331.
  • Islam, N. (1995), “Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(1195), 1127-1170.
  • Jamison, D. T. & L. J. Lau & J. Wang (2005), “Health’s Contribution to Economic Growth in an Environment of Partially Endogenous Technical Progress”, In: G. López-Casasnovas & B. Rivera & L. Currais (Eds.), Health and Economic Growth: Findings and Policy Implications, Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press.
  • Jayachandran, S. & A. Lleras-Muney (2009), “Longevity and Human Capital Investments: Evidence from Maternal Mortality Declines in Sri Lanka”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 124(1), 349-397.
  • Jensen, R. & A. Lleras-Muney (2012), “Does Staying in School (and Not Working) Prevent Teen Smoking and Drinking?” Journal of Health Economics, 31(4), 644-675.
  • Kónya, L. (2006), “Exports and Growth: Granger Causality Analysis on OECD Countries with a Panel Data Approach”, Economic Modelling, 23(6), 978-992.
  • Li, H. & H. Liang (2010), “Health, Education, and Economic Growth in East Asia”, Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, 3(2), 110-131.
  • Lucas, R. E. (1988), “On the Mechanics of Economic Development”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 22(1), 3-42.
  • Mankiw, G. & D. Romer & D. Weil (1992), “A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(2), 407-437.
  • Mayer-Foulkes, D. (2001), “The Long-Term Impact of Health on Economic Growth in Mexico, 1950-1995”, Journal of International Development, 13(1), 123-126.
  • McDonald, S. & J. Roberts (2006), “AIDS and Economic Growth: A Human Capital Approach”, Journal of Development Economics, 80(1), 228-250.
  • Miguel, E. & M. Kremer (2004), “Worms: Identifying Impacts on Education and Health in the Presence of Treatment Externalities”, Econometrica, 72(1), 159-217.
  • Nomura, T. (2007), “Contribution of Education and Educational Equality to Economic Growth”, Applied Economics Letters, 14(9), 627-630.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004), “General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels”, IZA Discussion Paper, 1240, Institute of the Study of Labor, Bonn, Germany.
  • Pesaran, M. H. & T. Yamagata (2008), “Testing Slope Homogeneity in Large Panels”, Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93.
  • Pesaran, M. H. & A. Ullah & T. Yamagata (2008), “A Bias-Adjusted LM Test of Error Crosssection Independence”, Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105-127.
  • Rivera, B. & L. Currais (1999), “Economic Growth and Health: Direct Impact or Reverse Causation?”, Applied Economics Letters, 6(11), 761-764.
  • Romer, P. M. (1986), “Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth”, Journal of Political Economy, 94(10), 1002-1037.
  • Romer, P. M. (1989), “Human Capital and Growth: Theory and Evidence”, NBER Working Paper, 3137, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass.
  • Sachs, J. D. & A. Warner (1997), “Fundamental Sources of Long-run Growth”, American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 87(2), 184-188.
  • Sala-i-Martin, X. (1997), “I Just Ran Four Million Regressions”, NBER Working Paper, 6252, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass.
  • Sala-i-Martin, X. & G. Doppelhofer & R. I. Miller (2004), “Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach”, American Economic Review, 94(4), 813-835.
  • Sianesi, B. & J. Reenen (2003), “The Returns to Education: Macroeconomics”, Journal of Economic Surveys, 17(2), 157-200.
  • Soares, R. R. (2006), “The Effect of Longevity on Schooling and Fertility: Evidence from the Brazilian Demographic and Health Survey”, Journal of Population Economics, 19(1), 71-97.
  • Strauss, J. & D. Thomas (1998), “Health, Nutrition and Economic Development”, Journal of Economic Literature, 36(2), 766-817.
  • Swamy, P. A. V. B. (1970), “Efficient Inference in a Random Coefficient Regression Model”, Econometrica, 38(2), 311-323.
  • Tamura, R. (2006), “Human Capital and Economic Development”, Journal of Development Economics, 79(1), 26-72.
  • Tsamadias, C. & P. Prontzas (2012), “The Effect of Education on Economic Growth in Greece over the 1960-2000 Period”, Education Economics, 20(5), 522-537.
  • UN (2005), The Millennium Development Goals Report 2005, New York: United Nations.
  • UNAIDS (2004), Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic, Geneva: World Health Organization.
  • Uneze, E. (2013), “The Relation between Capital Formation and Economic Growth: Evidence from Sub-Saharan African Countries”, Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 16(3), 272-286.
  • Wang, X. & K. Taniguchi (2003), “Does Better Nutrition Enhance Economic Growth? Impact of Undernourishment”, In: K. Taniguchi & X. Wang (Eds.), Nutrition Intake and Economic Growth, Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization.
  • Weil, D. N. (2007), “Accounting for the Effect of Health on Economic Growth”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122(3), 1265-1305.
  • WHO (2007), The World Health Report 2007-A Safer Future: Global Public Health Security in the 21st Century, Geneva: World Health Organization.
  • World Bank (1993), World Development Report: Investing in Health, New York: Oxford University Press.
  • Zhang, J. & J. Zhang & R. Lee (2003), “Rising Longevity, Education, Savings, and Growth”, Journal of Development Economics, 70(1), 83-101.
APA Şen H, Kaya A, Alpaslan B (2018). Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries. , 125 - 144.
Chicago Şen Hüseyin,Kaya Ayşe,Alpaslan Baris Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries. (2018): 125 - 144.
MLA Şen Hüseyin,Kaya Ayşe,Alpaslan Baris Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries. , 2018, ss.125 - 144.
AMA Şen H,Kaya A,Alpaslan B Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries. . 2018; 125 - 144.
Vancouver Şen H,Kaya A,Alpaslan B Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries. . 2018; 125 - 144.
IEEE Şen H,Kaya A,Alpaslan B "Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries." , ss.125 - 144, 2018.
ISNAD Şen, Hüseyin vd. "Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries". (2018), 125-144.
APA Şen H, Kaya A, Alpaslan B (2018). Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries. Sosyoekonomi, 26(36), 125 - 144.
Chicago Şen Hüseyin,Kaya Ayşe,Alpaslan Baris Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries. Sosyoekonomi 26, no.36 (2018): 125 - 144.
MLA Şen Hüseyin,Kaya Ayşe,Alpaslan Baris Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries. Sosyoekonomi, vol.26, no.36, 2018, ss.125 - 144.
AMA Şen H,Kaya A,Alpaslan B Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries. Sosyoekonomi. 2018; 26(36): 125 - 144.
Vancouver Şen H,Kaya A,Alpaslan B Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries. Sosyoekonomi. 2018; 26(36): 125 - 144.
IEEE Şen H,Kaya A,Alpaslan B "Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries." Sosyoekonomi, 26, ss.125 - 144, 2018.
ISNAD Şen, Hüseyin vd. "Education, Health, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis for Developing Countries". Sosyoekonomi 26/36 (2018), 125-144.