Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı

Abdullah GÖV, (İstanbul Arel Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, Yönetim Bilişim Sitemleri Bölümü, İstanbul, Türkiye)
Veli YILANCI (Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart Üniversitesi, Siyasal Bilgiler Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü, Terzioğlu Kampüsü, Merkez, Çanakkale, Türkiye)
İstanbul İktisat Dergisi
12 5
Yıl: 2023 Cilt: 73 Sayı: 1 Sayfa Aralığı: 203 - 230 Metin Dili: Türkçe DOI: 10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588 İndeks Tarihi: 20-07-2023

Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı

Öz:
Bu çalışmanın amacı, gelişmekte olan 30 ülke özelinde ekonomik büyüme ile enerji tüketimi, finansal gelişme ve dış ticareti dengesi arasındaki ilişkiyi incelemektir. Analizde LASSO ile Kesik LASSO(KLASSO) Grafiksel Granger Nedensellik(GGN) yaklaşımlarından yararlanılmıştır. Elde edilen sonuçlarda, KLASSO GGN testi ekonomik büyümeden dış ticaret dengesine doğru tek yönlü, LASSO GGN testi ise bu iki değişken arasında çift yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisinin olduğu sonucunu vermiştir. Bununla birlikte iki testin bulgularında, nedensellik ilişkisinin finansal gelişme ile enerji tüketiminden ekonomik büyümeye doğru tek yönlü olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Ampirik bulgular enerji tüketimi-ekonomik büyüme ilişkisinde büyüme hipotezini, finansal gelişme-ekonomik büyüme ilişkisinde ise talep takipli hipotezi desteklemektedir. Buna ilaveten incelenen ülke grubu ve dönemde (1990-2019) ekonomik büyümenin dış ticaret dengesinin değişimi üzerinde etkisi olan önemli bir faktör olduğuna dair kanıtlar elde edilmiştir.
Anahtar Kelime:

Graphical Causality Test Approach to the Relationship Between Economic Growth, Energy Consumption, Foreign Trade Balance and Financial Development

Öz:
The aim of this study is to examine the relationships among economic growth, energy consumption, financial development, and foreign trade for 30 developing countries by employing the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and truncating LASSO (KLASSO) graphical Granger causality (GGN) approaches. The results of the KLASSO GGN test show a unidirectional causality relationship to exist from economic growth to the trade balance, while the findings of the LASSO GGN test indicate a bidirectional causality to exist between these two series. The study has also determined a unidirectional causality to exist from financial development and energy consumption to economic growth. Overall, the empirical findings support the growth hypothesis and the demand-following hypothesis. Evidence has also been obtained showing economic growth to be an important factor affecting the change in the foreign trade balance among the examined country group and period (1990-2019).
Anahtar Kelime:

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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APA GÖV A, Yilanci V (2023). Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı. , 203 - 230. 10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
Chicago GÖV ABDULLAH,Yilanci Veli Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı. (2023): 203 - 230. 10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
MLA GÖV ABDULLAH,Yilanci Veli Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı. , 2023, ss.203 - 230. 10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
AMA GÖV A,Yilanci V Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı. . 2023; 203 - 230. 10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
Vancouver GÖV A,Yilanci V Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı. . 2023; 203 - 230. 10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
IEEE GÖV A,Yilanci V "Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı." , ss.203 - 230, 2023. 10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
ISNAD GÖV, ABDULLAH - Yilanci, Veli. "Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı". (2023), 203-230. https://doi.org/10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
APA GÖV A, Yilanci V (2023). Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi, 73(1), 203 - 230. 10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
Chicago GÖV ABDULLAH,Yilanci Veli Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi 73, no.1 (2023): 203 - 230. 10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
MLA GÖV ABDULLAH,Yilanci Veli Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi, vol.73, no.1, 2023, ss.203 - 230. 10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
AMA GÖV A,Yilanci V Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi. 2023; 73(1): 203 - 230. 10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
Vancouver GÖV A,Yilanci V Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi. 2023; 73(1): 203 - 230. 10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
IEEE GÖV A,Yilanci V "Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı." İstanbul İktisat Dergisi, 73, ss.203 - 230, 2023. 10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
ISNAD GÖV, ABDULLAH - Yilanci, Veli. "Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Dış Ticaret Dengesi ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisine Grafiksel Nedensellik Testi Yaklaşımı". İstanbul İktisat Dergisi 73/1 (2023), 203-230. https://doi.org/10.26650/ISTJECON2022-1164588
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24-04-2024 8:27

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