POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010
Yıl: 2013 Cilt: 9 Sayı: 1 Sayfa Aralığı: 1 - 14 Metin Dili: Türkçe İndeks Tarihi: 29-07-2022
POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010
Öz: Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiyenin 1980-2010 dönemi yıllık datasını kullanarakekonomik ve politik faktörlerin ekonomik hoşnutsuzluk üzerine etkileriniincelemektir. Ekonomik hoşnutsuzluğu ölçmek için, Arthur M Okun tarafındanişsizlik oranı ve yıllık enflasyon oran olarak tanımlanan ekonomik ekonomikhoşnutsuzluk endeksi (diğer adıyla sefalet endeksi) kullanılmıştır. Ekonomik vepolitik faktörlerle ekonomik hoşnutsuzluk arasındaki ilişkiyi incelemek içinzaman serileri analizinin eşbütünleşme ve hata düzeltme modeli uygulanmış vevar olan literatür göz önüne alındığında tartışmalı sonuçlar bulunmuştur.Sonuçlara göre, kısa dönemde gelir eşitsizliği ve dışa açıklık artarken ekonomikhoşnutsuzluk da artmaktadır. Ancak democracy ve yolsuzluğun artan düzeyi kısadönemde ekonomik hoşnutsuzluğu azaltmaktadır. Öte yandan, uzun dönemdeincelenen tüm politik faktörler (yolsuzluk hariç) ekonomik hoşnutsuzluklapozitif yönlü ilişkilidir. Ekonomik (kontrol) değişkenler, GSYİH büyümesi vefaiz oranı, hem kısa hem uzun dönemde (kısa dönemde ters yönlü etkiye sahipolan faiz oranı hariç) ekonomik hoşnutsuzluğu pozitif yönde etkilemektedir.
Anahtar Kelime: Konular:
EKONOMİK HOŞNUTSUZLUĞUN POLİTİK EKONOMİSİ: TÜRKİYE ÜZERİNE ZAMAN SERİLERİ ANALİZİ,1980-2010
Öz: The aim of this study is to analyse the impacts of economic and political factorson economic discomfort by using the Turkish annual data for the period of 1980- 2010. To measure economic discomfort, we use economic discomfort index (akamisery index ) defined by Arthur M. Okun as the sum of the unemploymentrate plus the annual rate of inflation. We apply for the time series analysis ofcointegration and error correction model to examine the relationship betweeneconomic discomfort and economic and political factors. As far as the existingliterature is considered, our estimations yield disputable results. We find theevidence that, in the short run, economic discomfort increases as incomeinequality and trade openness increase. However, increasing level of democracyand corruption decreases economic discomfort in the short run. On the otherhand, in the long run, all political factors under consideration, except forcorruption are positively associated with economic discomfort. Economic(control) variables, namely, GDP growth and interest rate affect positively theeconomic discomfort both in the long run and in the short run except for interestrate having adverse impact on economic discomfort only in the short run.
Anahtar Kelime: Konular:
Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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| APA | BEŞKAYA A (2013). POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010. , 1 - 14. |
| Chicago | BEŞKAYA AHMET POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010. (2013): 1 - 14. |
| MLA | BEŞKAYA AHMET POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010. , 2013, ss.1 - 14. |
| AMA | BEŞKAYA A POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010. . 2013; 1 - 14. |
| Vancouver | BEŞKAYA A POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010. . 2013; 1 - 14. |
| IEEE | BEŞKAYA A "POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010." , ss.1 - 14, 2013. |
| ISNAD | BEŞKAYA, AHMET. "POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010". (2013), 1-14. |
| APA | BEŞKAYA A (2013). POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010. Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 9(1), 1 - 14. |
| Chicago | BEŞKAYA AHMET POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010. Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi 9, no.1 (2013): 1 - 14. |
| MLA | BEŞKAYA AHMET POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010. Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, vol.9, no.1, 2013, ss.1 - 14. |
| AMA | BEŞKAYA A POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010. Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi. 2013; 9(1): 1 - 14. |
| Vancouver | BEŞKAYA A POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010. Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi. 2013; 9(1): 1 - 14. |
| IEEE | BEŞKAYA A "POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010." Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 9, ss.1 - 14, 2013. |
| ISNAD | BEŞKAYA, AHMET. "POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC DISCOMFORT: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF TURKEY, 1980-2010". Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi 9/1 (2013), 1-14. |
