TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ

Levent ERDOĞAN, (Anadolu Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü, Eskişehir, Türkiye)
Reşat CEYLAN, (Anadolu Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü, Eskişehir, Türkiye)
Ahmet TİRYAKİ (Anadolu Üniversitesi, Açıköğretim Fakültesi, İktisadi ve İdari Programlar Bölümü, Eskişehir, Türkiye)
Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
33 17
Yıl: 2018 Cilt: 36 Sayı: 4 Sayfa Aralığı: 39 - 58 Metin Dili: Türkçe İndeks Tarihi: 11-06-2019

TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ

Öz:
Bu çalışmanın iki amacı vardır;birincisi, Genişletilmiş Neo-KlasikBüyüme Modeline dayanan bütüncülbir üretim fonksiyonunu temel alarak1965-2015 yılları arasında ARDLyaklaşımı ile Türkiye’de uzun dönem ekonomikbüyümenin temel belirleyicilerini araştırmaktır.İkincisi ise ARDL yöntemi ile elde edilen sonuçlarıyeni eş-bütünleşme metotlarından olan FMOLS,DOLS ve CCR yöntemlerinden yararlanarakdoğrulamak ve elde edilen sonuçların güvenilirliğiniartırmaktır. Ampirik bulgular Türkiye’de uzundönem ekonomik büyümenin temelbelirleyicilerinin sermaye stokundaki ve enerjitüketimindeki artışların olduğunu ortayakoymaktadır. Ayrıca sonuçlar, literatürün aksine,beşeri sermayenin ekonomik büyümeye katkısınınolmadığını veya varsa zayıf bir etkisinin olduğunudesteklemektedir.
Anahtar Kelime:

Konular: İşletme İktisat Uluslararası İlişkiler

ESTIMATION OF THE DETERMINANTS OF LONG RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TURKEY BY USING THE ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS, AND CCR APPROACHES

Öz:
The aim of this study is twofold; the first one is, by using “Augmented Neo-classical Growth Model” as a base, to investigate the determinants of the long-run economic growth of Turkey benefiting from the ARDL approach for the period of 1965 to 2015, using annual data. The second aim is to confirm and emphasize the results of ARDL approach by using the new co-integration methods of FMOLS, DOLS and CCR. Empirical results show that the determinants of long run economic growth are the growth of physical capital stock and the growth of energy use. However, empirical results support that, different from the literature, the contribution of human capital to economic growth in Turkey is none or weakly statistically significant.
Anahtar Kelime:

Konular: İşletme İktisat Uluslararası İlişkiler
Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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APA ERDOĞAN L, Ceylan R, TİRYAKİ A (2018). TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ. , 39 - 58.
Chicago ERDOĞAN LEVENT,Ceylan Reşat,TİRYAKİ Ahmet TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ. (2018): 39 - 58.
MLA ERDOĞAN LEVENT,Ceylan Reşat,TİRYAKİ Ahmet TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ. , 2018, ss.39 - 58.
AMA ERDOĞAN L,Ceylan R,TİRYAKİ A TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ. . 2018; 39 - 58.
Vancouver ERDOĞAN L,Ceylan R,TİRYAKİ A TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ. . 2018; 39 - 58.
IEEE ERDOĞAN L,Ceylan R,TİRYAKİ A "TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ." , ss.39 - 58, 2018.
ISNAD ERDOĞAN, LEVENT vd. "TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ". (2018), 39-58.
APA ERDOĞAN L, Ceylan R, TİRYAKİ A (2018). TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 36(4), 39 - 58.
Chicago ERDOĞAN LEVENT,Ceylan Reşat,TİRYAKİ Ahmet TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 36, no.4 (2018): 39 - 58.
MLA ERDOĞAN LEVENT,Ceylan Reşat,TİRYAKİ Ahmet TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, vol.36, no.4, 2018, ss.39 - 58.
AMA ERDOĞAN L,Ceylan R,TİRYAKİ A TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2018; 36(4): 39 - 58.
Vancouver ERDOĞAN L,Ceylan R,TİRYAKİ A TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2018; 36(4): 39 - 58.
IEEE ERDOĞAN L,Ceylan R,TİRYAKİ A "TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ." Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 36, ss.39 - 58, 2018.
ISNAD ERDOĞAN, LEVENT vd. "TÜRKİYE’DE UZUN DÖNEM EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİNİN ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS VE CCR YÖNTEMLERİYLE TAHMİNİ". Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 36/4 (2018), 39-58.
Sayfa Oluşturulma Tarihi
23-04-2024 7:58

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