Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks
Yıl: 2019 Cilt: 43 Sayı: 3 Sayfa Aralığı: 368 - 377 Metin Dili: İngilizce DOI: 10.3906/tar-1901-20 İndeks Tarihi: 07-05-2020
Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks
Öz: In this study, it was aimed to determine artificial neural network models with different architectures using artificial neuralnetwork (ANN) methods used in future prediction studies in recent times and forecast the sales quantities of industrial wood in Turkeywith the help of models. The sales quantities of logs, mining poles, other industrial wood, pulpwood, fiber-chip wood, and the total ofthese five wood groups were analyzed separately. The data used in this study was obtained from the General Directorate of Forestryof Turkey and cumulative monthly data covering the period from January 2001 to December 2016 were used. The most suitable ANNmodels were determined using performance criteria such as mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), root mean square error (RMSE),and determination coefficient (R2). As a result, the R2 and MAPE values of the ANN models were found to be above 99% and below 6%,respectively. The ANNs can be used as a good tool in industrial wood sales forecasts.
Anahtar Kelime: Konular:
Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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| APA | AKYÜZ I (2019). Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks. , 368 - 377. 10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
| Chicago | AKYÜZ ILKER Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks. (2019): 368 - 377. 10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
| MLA | AKYÜZ ILKER Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks. , 2019, ss.368 - 377. 10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
| AMA | AKYÜZ I Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks. . 2019; 368 - 377. 10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
| Vancouver | AKYÜZ I Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks. . 2019; 368 - 377. 10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
| IEEE | AKYÜZ I "Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks." , ss.368 - 377, 2019. 10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
| ISNAD | AKYÜZ, ILKER. "Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks". (2019), 368-377. https://doi.org/10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
| APA | AKYÜZ I (2019). Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks. Turkish Journal of Agriculture and Forestry, 43(3), 368 - 377. 10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
| Chicago | AKYÜZ ILKER Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks. Turkish Journal of Agriculture and Forestry 43, no.3 (2019): 368 - 377. 10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
| MLA | AKYÜZ ILKER Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks. Turkish Journal of Agriculture and Forestry, vol.43, no.3, 2019, ss.368 - 377. 10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
| AMA | AKYÜZ I Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks. Turkish Journal of Agriculture and Forestry. 2019; 43(3): 368 - 377. 10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
| Vancouver | AKYÜZ I Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks. Turkish Journal of Agriculture and Forestry. 2019; 43(3): 368 - 377. 10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
| IEEE | AKYÜZ I "Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks." Turkish Journal of Agriculture and Forestry, 43, ss.368 - 377, 2019. 10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
| ISNAD | AKYÜZ, ILKER. "Future projection and the sales of industrial wood in Turkey: artificial neural networks". Turkish Journal of Agriculture and Forestry 43/3 (2019), 368-377. https://doi.org/10.3906/tar-1901-20 |
