TY  - JOUR
TI  - Modeling the burden of cardiovascular disease in Turkey
AB  - Objective: This study aims to estimate the current and future burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in Turkey.Methods: A burden-of-disease model was developed that included inputs on population growth, prevalence, and incidence of ischemic disease(IHD) and cerebrovascular disease (CeVD), prevalence of modifiable risk factors, mortality rates, and relationship between risk factors and IHD/CeVD. Direct costs to the public health-care system and indirect costs from lost production due to premature mortality, hospitalizations, disability, and absenteeism were considered.Results: We estimated that in 2016, 3.4 million Turkish adults were living with CVD, including 2.5 million affected by IHD, and 0.9 million by CeVD.This prevalence is projected to increase to 5.4 million by 2035. The economic burden of CVD was estimated at US$10.2 billion in 2016, projectedto increase twofold to US$19.4 billion by 2035.Conclusion: Our study confirms that the current burden of CVD is significant, and that it is projected to increase at a steep rate over the next twodecades. This growing burden of disease will likely create significant pressure on the public health-care system in the form of direct health-carecosts, as well as on society in the form of lost productivity.
AU  - malhan, simten
AU  - Balbay, Yucel
AU  - DOBRESCU, Alexandru
AU  - ÖKSÜZ, Mehmet ergun
AU  - SUTHERLAND, Greg
AU  - GAGNON ARPIN, Isabelle
AU  - ERTUĞRUL, Gülnihal
AU  - VILLA, Guillermo
AU  - HABIB, Mohdhar
DO  - 10.14744/AnatolJCardiol.2018.89106
PY  - 2018
JO  - The Anatolian Journal of Cardiology
VL  - 20
IS  - 4
SN  - 2149-2263
SP  - 235
EP  - 240
DB  - TRDizin
UR  - http://search/yayin/detay/348009
ER  -