Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey

Herrmann, Frank; Onkal Engin, Guleda; Wendland, Frank; Çelen, Meltem; Klug, Philipp; Bach, Heike; Adiller, Ahmet

doi:10.35208/ert.777323

Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey

Guleda ENGİN, (Yıldız Teknik Üniversitesi, İnşaat Fakültesi, Çevre Mühendisliği Bölümü)

Ahmet Adiller, (Yıldız Teknik Üniversitesi, İnşaat Fakültesi, Çevre Mühendisliği Bölümü)

Philipp Klug, (VISTA Remote Sensing in Geosciences GmbH, 80333 Munich, GERMANY)

Meltem Çelen, (Gebze Teknik Üniversitesi, Mühendislik Fakültesi, Çevre Mühendisliği Bölümü)

Frank Herrmann, (Forschungszentrum Juelich, Institute of Bio- and Geosciences (IBG), Institute 3: Agrosphere 52425 Juelich, GERMANY)

Heike Bach, (VISTA Remote Sensing in Geosciences GmbH, 80333 Munich, GERMANY)

Frank Wendland (Forschungszentrum Juelich, Institute of Bio- and Geosciences (IBG), Institute 3: Agrosphere 52425 Juelich, GERMANY)

Environmental Research & Technology

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Yıl: 2021 Cilt: 4 Sayı: 1 Sayfa Aralığı: 1 - 17 Metin Dili: İngilizce DOI: 10.35208/ert.777323 İndeks Tarihi: 30-07-2021

Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey

Öz:

To assess climate change impact on the hydrology of Izmit Bay, a coupled model chain using the results of fourcombinations of Global Climate Models (GCMs) and Regional Climate Models (RCMs) and consisting two hydrologicalmodels (mGROWA and PROMET) and one hydrodynamic model (MIKE 3HD) was established. Climate model data ofthe 4 GCM-RCM combinations were applied to both hydrological models. The resulting 8 streamflow data of thehydrological models were then applied to the MIKE 3HD to assess possible hydrodynamic situations in Izmit Bay.Related model results indicate a range of possible future streamflow regimes suitable for the analysis of climatechange impact on Izmit Bay. In order to evaluate the effects of the hydrological changes only on the bay, the bay wasconsidered as closed in terms of hydrodynamics. There is a clear indication that the climate change induced impactson streamflow may influence the sea level in the Bay to a minor extent. However, climate change induced waterexchange processes in the Bay may have a much bigger influence. Hence, it is suggested that further simulationsshould be run once the hydrologic regime of the Marmara Sea has been assessed in a broader macro-scale study.

Anahtar Kelime:

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık

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APA	Onkal Engin G, Adiller A, Klug P, Çelen M, Herrmann F, Bach H, Wendland F (2021). Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey. , 1 - 17. 10.35208/ert.777323
Chicago	Onkal Engin Guleda,Adiller Ahmet,Klug Philipp,Çelen Meltem,Herrmann Frank,Bach Heike,Wendland Frank Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey. (2021): 1 - 17. 10.35208/ert.777323
MLA	Onkal Engin Guleda,Adiller Ahmet,Klug Philipp,Çelen Meltem,Herrmann Frank,Bach Heike,Wendland Frank Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey. , 2021, ss.1 - 17. 10.35208/ert.777323
AMA	Onkal Engin G,Adiller A,Klug P,Çelen M,Herrmann F,Bach H,Wendland F Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey. . 2021; 1 - 17. 10.35208/ert.777323
Vancouver	Onkal Engin G,Adiller A,Klug P,Çelen M,Herrmann F,Bach H,Wendland F Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey. . 2021; 1 - 17. 10.35208/ert.777323
IEEE	Onkal Engin G,Adiller A,Klug P,Çelen M,Herrmann F,Bach H,Wendland F "Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey." , ss.1 - 17, 2021. 10.35208/ert.777323
ISNAD	Onkal Engin, Guleda vd. "Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey". (2021), 1-17. https://doi.org/10.35208/ert.777323

APA	Onkal Engin G, Adiller A, Klug P, Çelen M, Herrmann F, Bach H, Wendland F (2021). Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey. Environmental Research & Technology, 4(1), 1 - 17. 10.35208/ert.777323
Chicago	Onkal Engin Guleda,Adiller Ahmet,Klug Philipp,Çelen Meltem,Herrmann Frank,Bach Heike,Wendland Frank Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey. Environmental Research & Technology 4, no.1 (2021): 1 - 17. 10.35208/ert.777323
MLA	Onkal Engin Guleda,Adiller Ahmet,Klug Philipp,Çelen Meltem,Herrmann Frank,Bach Heike,Wendland Frank Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey. Environmental Research & Technology, vol.4, no.1, 2021, ss.1 - 17. 10.35208/ert.777323
AMA	Onkal Engin G,Adiller A,Klug P,Çelen M,Herrmann F,Bach H,Wendland F Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey. Environmental Research & Technology. 2021; 4(1): 1 - 17. 10.35208/ert.777323
Vancouver	Onkal Engin G,Adiller A,Klug P,Çelen M,Herrmann F,Bach H,Wendland F Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey. Environmental Research & Technology. 2021; 4(1): 1 - 17. 10.35208/ert.777323
IEEE	Onkal Engin G,Adiller A,Klug P,Çelen M,Herrmann F,Bach H,Wendland F "Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey." Environmental Research & Technology, 4, ss.1 - 17, 2021. 10.35208/ert.777323
ISNAD	Onkal Engin, Guleda vd. "Climate change impact assessment under data scarcity by hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in Izmit Bay/Turkey". Environmental Research & Technology 4/1 (2021), 1-17. https://doi.org/10.35208/ert.777323