PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK
Yıl: 2020 Cilt: 25 Sayı: 3 Sayfa Aralığı: 1139 - 1154 Metin Dili: İngilizce DOI: 10.17482/uumfd.787147 İndeks Tarihi: 29-07-2022
PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK
Öz: Streamflow prediction is often a challenging issue for snow dominated basins where properin-situ snow data might be limited and the snow physics is highly complex. The main aim of this study isto propose an alternative modeling solution by considering both accessibility of the inputs and simplicityof the model structure. We propose Wavelet Neural Network (WNN) model approach which takesprobabilistic snow cover area in order to produce probabilistic streamflow in the mountainous basins. Forthe sake of the accessibility of the input data, snow probability maps are produced from cloud-free imagesof MODIS. The WNN model is trained and tested with observed hydro-meteorological data. Also, MultiLayer Perceptron Model (MLP) is used as a benchmark model. The approach is tested in a snow-dominatedheadwater (in altitude from 1559 to 3508 m) of Murat River which has a great importance as being one ofthe main tributaries of Euphrates River. According to the results, the approach is capable of detecting snowdistribution in the area of interest and WNN is promising to generate probabilistic streamflow predictions.
Anahtar Kelime: Dağlık Havzalarda Uydu Kar Verisi ve Dalgacık Sinir Ağı Tabanlı Olasılıklı Akım Modelleme Yaklaşımı
Öz: Kar baskın havzalardaki akarsu akım tahminleri, uygun arazi kar verilerinin sınırlı oluşu ve kar fiziğinin oldukça karmaşık olması nedeniyle genellikle zorlayıcı bir konudur. Bu çalışmanın temel amacı hem girdilerin erişilebilirliğini hem de model yapısının basitliğini göz önünde bulundurarak alternatif bir modelleme çözümü önermektir. Önerilen Dalgacık Sinir Ağı (DSA) modeli yaklaşımı, nehir akımları üretmek için olasılıklı karla kaplı alanları girdi alarak dağlık havzalarda olasılıklı akım tahminleri üretebilmektedir. Girdi verilerinin erişilebilirliği adına, MODIS'in bulutsuz görüntülerinden kar olasılığı haritaları üretilmektedir. DSA modeli, gözlenmiş hidro-meteorolojik verilerle eğitilmiş ve test edilmiştir. Ayrıca, Çok-Katmanlı Perseptron Modeli (ÇKPM) de kıyaslama modeli olarak kullanılmıştır. Yaklaşım, Fırat Nehri'nin ana kolu olarak büyük önem taşıyan Murat Nehri'nin kar baskın üst havzasında (1559 ila 3508 m yükseklikte) test edilmiştir. Sonuçlara göre, DSA yaklaşımı ilgi alanındaki kar dağılımını tespit ederek olasılıklı akım tahminleri üretme imkânı sağlamaktadır.
Anahtar Kelime: Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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| APA | Uysal G, Sensoy A (2020). PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK. , 1139 - 1154. 10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
| Chicago | Uysal Gökçen,Sensoy Aynur PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK. (2020): 1139 - 1154. 10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
| MLA | Uysal Gökçen,Sensoy Aynur PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK. , 2020, ss.1139 - 1154. 10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
| AMA | Uysal G,Sensoy A PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK. . 2020; 1139 - 1154. 10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
| Vancouver | Uysal G,Sensoy A PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK. . 2020; 1139 - 1154. 10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
| IEEE | Uysal G,Sensoy A "PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK." , ss.1139 - 1154, 2020. 10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
| ISNAD | Uysal, Gökçen - Sensoy, Aynur. "PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK". (2020), 1139-1154. https://doi.org/10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
| APA | Uysal G, Sensoy A (2020). PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK. Uludağ Üniversitesi Mühendislik Fakültesi Dergisi, 25(3), 1139 - 1154. 10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
| Chicago | Uysal Gökçen,Sensoy Aynur PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK. Uludağ Üniversitesi Mühendislik Fakültesi Dergisi 25, no.3 (2020): 1139 - 1154. 10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
| MLA | Uysal Gökçen,Sensoy Aynur PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK. Uludağ Üniversitesi Mühendislik Fakültesi Dergisi, vol.25, no.3, 2020, ss.1139 - 1154. 10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
| AMA | Uysal G,Sensoy A PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK. Uludağ Üniversitesi Mühendislik Fakültesi Dergisi. 2020; 25(3): 1139 - 1154. 10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
| Vancouver | Uysal G,Sensoy A PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK. Uludağ Üniversitesi Mühendislik Fakültesi Dergisi. 2020; 25(3): 1139 - 1154. 10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
| IEEE | Uysal G,Sensoy A "PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK." Uludağ Üniversitesi Mühendislik Fakültesi Dergisi, 25, ss.1139 - 1154, 2020. 10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
| ISNAD | Uysal, Gökçen - Sensoy, Aynur. "PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK". Uludağ Üniversitesi Mühendislik Fakültesi Dergisi 25/3 (2020), 1139-1154. https://doi.org/10.17482/uumfd.787147 |
