Yıl: 2021 Cilt: 8 Sayı: 2 Sayfa Aralığı: 113 - 125 Metin Dili: İngilizce DOI: 10.30897/ijegeo.792379 İndeks Tarihi: 02-10-2021

Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin

Öz:
The issue of mitigating the expected effects of drought has become quite prominent within the scope of planning, development, andmanagement of water resources affected negatively by climate change. An integrated management approach must be plannedprimarily for sustainable water management. To conduct drought risk analyses, a sufficient amount of data must be available. Thehistorical process of the basin must be known, and there must be a plan that is assessed with several indices. In this study, we carriedout drought risk analyses on the Ceyhan Basin using meteorological, hydrogeological, and hydrological data to determine indices andindicators available in the literature. We compared indices, examined the correlations among them, and reached an outcome. All ofthe study’s indices showed that the drought was in the same periodicity in the basin, and a slow progressing drought occurred in thebasin. When the trend of the last 50 years of precipitation in the basin is analyzed, it is evident that there is a general decrease. It hasbeen calculated that there is an extreme drought threat for the basin in the 20-year return interval. In a general view, decision-makersshall provide drought management plans for the basin.
Anahtar Kelime:

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
  • Bayazıt, M. Önöz, B. (2008) Hydrology of Flood and Drought. Istanbul.
  • Bayer Altın, T., Barak, B. (2012) Changes and trends in precipitation and air temperature values during the period of 1970–2009 in the Seyhan Basin. Türk Coğ Derg 58, 21–34 (in Turkish).
  • Bayer Altın, T., Barak, B. (2017) Trends and changes in tropical and summer days at the Adana Sub-region of the Mediterranean region, Southern Turkey. Atmos Research 196, 182–199.
  • Bayissa, Y., Maskey, S., Tadesse, T., Van Andel, S.J., Moges, S., Van Griensven, A., Solomatine, D. (2018) Comparison of the performance of six drought indices in characterizing historical drought for the upper blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. Geosciences, 8, 81. DOI:10.3390/geosciences8030081
  • Besselaar, P., Haylock, M. R., van der Schrier, G., Klein, T.A.M.G., (2011) A European daily high-resolution observational gridded data set of sea level pressure. Journal Geophysical Research, 116 (D11). DOI:10.1029/2010JD015468.
  • Bloomfield, J., Marchant, B. (2013) Analysis of groundwater drought building on the standardized precipitation index approach. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17, 4769-4787. doi: 10.5194/hess17-4769-2013.
  • Daly, C., Gibson, W. P., Taylor, G.H., Johnson, G.L., Pasteris, P. A., (2002) Knowledge-based approach to the statistical mapping of climate. Climate Research, 22, 99-113. doi: 10.3354/cr022099.
  • Daly, C., Halbleib, M, Smith, J.I., Gibson, W. P., Doggett, M.K., Taylor, G.H., Curtis, J., Pasteris, P.P., (2008) Physiographically sensitive mapping of climatological temperature and precipitation across the conterminous United States. Journal of Climatology, 28 (15), 2031-2064. doi: 10.1002/joc.1688.
  • Das, S., Choudhury, M., Gandhı̇ , S., Joshı̇ , V. (2016). Application of Earth Observation Data and Standardized Precipitation Index Based Approach for Meteorological Drought Monitoring, Assessment and Prediction Over Kutch, Gujarat, India. International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics, 3(2), 24-37. doi. 10.30897/ijegeo.306468.
  • Dikici, M. (2013) Analysis of the dry season lengths of precipitations in Istanbul. Istanbul International Solid Waste, Water and Wastewater Congress, May 22-24, 2013, Haliç Congress Centre, ISTANBUL.
  • Dı̇ kı̇ cı̇ , M. and Aksel, M., “Evaluation of two vegetation indices (NDVI and VCI) over Asi Basin in Turkey”, Teknik Dergi, 32, accepted for press, (2021).
  • Dogan, S. (2013) Spatio-temporal analysis of the drought categorization of Konya closed basin (PhD thesis), Institute of Science, Selçuk University.
  • European Commission (EC) (2007) Drought Management Plan Report Including Agricultural, Drought Indicators and Climate Change Aspects. European Commission General Directorate of Environment.
  • General Directory of Water Management (GDWM) (2018) Archive of the General Directorate of Water Management, Ankara, Turkey.
  • Gibbs, W., Maher, J. (1967) Rainfall deciles as drought indicators. Australia Bureau of Meteorology.
  • Global Water Partnership (GWP) (2015) Guidelines for the preparation of Drought Management Plans. Development and implementation in the context of the EU Water Framework Directive. Global Water Partnership Central and Easter Europe.
  • Gorjı̇ , T., Yıldırım, A., Sertel, E., Tanık, A. (2019). Remote sensing approaches and mapping methods for monitoring soil salinity under different climate regimes. International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics, 6(1), 33-49. doi. 10. 30897/ ijegeo.500452.
  • Heyes, M., Svoboda, M., Wall, N., Widhalm, M. (2011) The Lincoln declaration on drought indices: universal meteorological drought index recommended, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (4), 485-488 DOI: 10.1175/2010BAMS3103.1.
  • Jehanzaib, M., Kim, T.W. (2020a) Exploring the influence of climate change-induced drought propagation on wetlands. Ecological Engineering, 149, 105799.
  • Jehanzaib, M., Sattar, M.N., Lee, J.H., Kim, T.W., (2020b) Investigating the effect of climate change on drought propagation from meteorological to hydrological drought using multi-model ensemble projections. Stochastic Environ. Res. Risk Assess. 34, 7-21.
  • Jehanzaib, M., S. A. Shah, H.H., Kwon, T.W., Kim, (2020c): Investigating the influence of natural events and anthropogenic activities on hydrological drought in South Korea. Terr. Atmos. Ocean. Sci., 31, 85-96, doi: 10.3319/TAO.2019.08.13.01.
  • Jehanzaib, M., Shah, S.A., Yoo, J., Kim, T.W. (2020d) Investigating the impacts of climate change and human activities on hydrological drought using nonstationary approaches. J. Hydrol. 588, 125052.
  • Kalubarme, M., Acharya, M., Shukla, S. (2019). Monitoring Drought and its impact on Agriculture using Drought Indices and Geo-informatics Technology in Patan District, Gujarat .International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics, 6(2), 153-162. doi.10.30897/ijegeo.554465.
  • Kütükçü, A., Kaya, Ş., Kabdaşlı, S., Gazioğlu, C. (2015). Nehir Havzalarının Morfolojik Karakteristiklerinin CBS Destekli Nümerik Modeller Kullanılarak Analizi, Türkiye Ulusal Fotogrametri ve Uzaktan Algılama Birliği (TUFUAB) VII. Teknik Sempozyumu, 58-70.
  • Lee, J., Kim, N.W., Kim, T. et al. (2019) Feasible Ranges of Runoff Curve Numbers for Korean Watersheds Based on the Interior Point Optimization Algorithm. KSCE J Civ Eng 23, 5257–5265. DOI: 10.1007/s12205-019-0901-9.
  • Lloyd‐Hughes, B., Saunders, M. (2002). A drought climatology for Europe. International Journal of Climatology, 22 (13), 1571-1592. doi: 10.1002/joc.846.
  • McKee, T., Doesken, N., Kleist, J. (1993) The Relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales, Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology (17–22January 1993). Anaheim, CA. Boston, MA: American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.12691/ajrd-4-6-1.
  • Mendicino, G., Senatore, A., Versace, P.A. (2008) Groundwater Resource Index (GRI) for drought monitoring and forecasting in a Mediterranean climate. Journal of Hydrology, 357 (3), 282-302. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.05.005.
  • Menteş, E., Kaya, Ş., Tanık, A., Gazı̇ oğlu, C. (2019). Calculation of Flood Risk Index for Yesilirmak Basin-Turkey, International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics, 6(3), 288-299.doi: 10.30897/ijegeo.661533.
  • Ogallo, L., Gbeckor Kove, N. (1989) World Climate Applications Programme (WCAP), 07. Drought and desertification, World Meteorological Organization (WMO), (WMO/TD, 286).
  • Palmer, W. (1965) Meteorological drought. U.S. Research Paper No. 45. Washington, DC: US Weather Bureau.
  • Ryu, Jae-Hui, Lee, Dong-Ryul, An, Jae-Hyeon, & Yun, Yong-Nam. (2002). A comparative study on the drought indices for drought evaluation. Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, 35 (4),397–410. doi: 10.3741/JKWRA.2002.35.4.397.
  • Sen, Z. (2015) Applied Drought Modeling, Prediction, and Mitigation (Chapter 2 - Basic Drought Indicators), Amsterdam: Elsevier.
  • Sheffield, J., Wood, E.F. (2007) Projected changes in drought occurrence under future global warming from multi-model, multi-scenario, IPCC AR4 simulations. Clim. Dyn., 31, 79-105. doi: 10.1007/s00382-007-0340-z.
  • Simav, Ö., Şeker, DZ., Gazioğlu, C. (2013). Coastal inundation due to sea level rise and extreme sea state and its potential impacts: Çukurova Delta case, Turkish Journal of Earth Sciences 22 (4), 671-680.
  • Thom H (1958) A Note on the Gamma Distribution. Monthly Weather Review, 86(4), 117-122
  • Thom H (1966) Some Methods of Climatological Analysis. WMO Technical Note No. 81. Geneva, Switzerland: World Meteorological Organization
  • Thornthwaite C (1948) An approach toward a rational classification of climate. Geographical Review, 38(1), 55-94.
  • Turkish State Meteorological Service (TSMS) (2017) Turkish State Meteorological Service, Obtained from below link; https://www.mgm.gov.tr/iklim/iklimsiniflandirmalari.aspx
  • Ülker, D., Ergüven, O., Gazioğlu, C. (2018). Socioeconomic impacts in a Changing Climate: Case Study Syria, International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics, 5(1), 84-93. doi. 10.30897/ijegeo.406273.
  • UNDP (2016) Drought Risk Management. Uzunkol, M., Kızılelma, Y. (2016) Determination of drought status and trends in the Ceyhan Basin. Journal of Acad. Soc. Sci, 29(4), 503–519 (in Turkish).
  • Van Loon, A. (2015) Hydrological drought explained. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 2(4), 359- 392. doi: 10.1002/wat2.1085.
  • Vicente-Serrano, M., Beguería, S., López-More, J.I. (2010) A multiscalar drought index sensitive to global warming: the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index. Journal of Climate, 23 (7), 1696-1718. doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2909.
  • Wable, P., Jha, M., Shekhar, A. (2019) Comparison of drought indices in a Semi-Arid River Basin of India. Water Resources Management, 33, 75–102 doi: 10.1007/s11269-018-2089-z.
  • Wilhite, D.A. (2000) Droughts: A Global Assesment (Hazards and Disasters), Routledge.
  • Wilhite, D.A., Sivakumar, M., Pulwarty, R. (2014) Managing drought risk in a changing climate: the role of National Drought Policy. Weather and Climate Extremes, 3, 4-13. doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2014.01.002.
  • Willeke, G.E., Hosking, J., Wallis, J., Guttman, N. (1994) The National Drought Atlas, Institute for Water Resources Report 94–NDS–4, U,S, Army Corps of Engineers.
  • World Meteorology Organization (WMO) (2016) Handbook of Drought Indicators and Indices (M, Svoboda and B,A, Fuchs), Integrated Drought Management Programme (IDMP), Integrated Drought Management Tools and Guidelines Series 2.
  • World Meteorology Organization (WMO). (2012) WMO statement on the status of the global climate in 2012. Geneva, Switzerland: World Meteorological Organization.
  • Zargar, A., Sadiq, R., Naser, B., Khan, F. (2011) A review of drought indices, Environmental Reviews, 19(1), 333-349. doi: 10.1139/a11-013.
APA Dikici M, Aksel M (2021). Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin. , 113 - 125. 10.30897/ijegeo.792379
Chicago Dikici Mehmet,Aksel Murat Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin. (2021): 113 - 125. 10.30897/ijegeo.792379
MLA Dikici Mehmet,Aksel Murat Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin. , 2021, ss.113 - 125. 10.30897/ijegeo.792379
AMA Dikici M,Aksel M Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin. . 2021; 113 - 125. 10.30897/ijegeo.792379
Vancouver Dikici M,Aksel M Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin. . 2021; 113 - 125. 10.30897/ijegeo.792379
IEEE Dikici M,Aksel M "Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin." , ss.113 - 125, 2021. 10.30897/ijegeo.792379
ISNAD Dikici, Mehmet - Aksel, Murat. "Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin". (2021), 113-125. https://doi.org/10.30897/ijegeo.792379
APA Dikici M, Aksel M (2021). Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin. International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics, 8(2), 113 - 125. 10.30897/ijegeo.792379
Chicago Dikici Mehmet,Aksel Murat Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin. International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics 8, no.2 (2021): 113 - 125. 10.30897/ijegeo.792379
MLA Dikici Mehmet,Aksel Murat Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin. International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics, vol.8, no.2, 2021, ss.113 - 125. 10.30897/ijegeo.792379
AMA Dikici M,Aksel M Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin. International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics. 2021; 8(2): 113 - 125. 10.30897/ijegeo.792379
Vancouver Dikici M,Aksel M Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin. International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics. 2021; 8(2): 113 - 125. 10.30897/ijegeo.792379
IEEE Dikici M,Aksel M "Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin." International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics, 8, ss.113 - 125, 2021. 10.30897/ijegeo.792379
ISNAD Dikici, Mehmet - Aksel, Murat. "Comparison of Drought Indices in the Case of the Ceyhan Basin". International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics 8/2 (2021), 113-125. https://doi.org/10.30897/ijegeo.792379