The study aims to determine the possible effects of the variables affecting theamount of emissions by evaluating the actual level of CO2 emissions observed inthe period of 1980-2014 in accordance with the values of the anticipated levelwithin the Kyoto Protocol. The variables included in the evaluation consist offoreign direct investments, foreign trade and the number of tourists visiting. Inthe study which focuses on the accepted amount of CO2 emissions within theKyoto Protocol, it was preferred to use the dependent dummy variablecategorized as the years when the values below the predetermined threshold wereobtained and the years when this value was exceeded in Turkey. In this context,the years when the values below the relevant threshold were obtained areconsidered reasonable for carbon emission and regarded as positive for thecountry. Marginal effect calculations were algebraically made and the probabilityeffect on the prediction that the related variables would be below the thresholdvalue anticipated for the carbon emission was searched. According to the findingsobtained from the analysis, it was determined that the decreases in foreign directinvestment / GDP and foreign trade / GDP ratios and the increases observed inthe number of tourists visiting the country increased the probability of CO2emission being below the threshold. These determinations are very important interms of examining the variables that may affect the observed increases in CO2emissions exceeding the threshold because the necessity of many steps for asustainable ecological balance has been accepted globally, but the level ofsensitivity to the anticipated measures varies among countries.