Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility

Mehmet Şahin (İskenderun Teknik Üniversitesi, Mühendislik ve Doğa Bilimleri Fakültesi, Endüstri Mühendisliği Bölümü, İskenderun, Türkiye)
Manas Journal of Engineering
0 0
Yıl: 2020 Cilt: 8 Sayı: 2 Sayfa Aralığı: 144 - 150 Metin Dili: İngilizce İndeks Tarihi: 11-01-2022

Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility

Öz:
Countries struggling to overcome the profound and devastating effects of COVID-19 have started taking steps to return to the "new normal." Any accurate forecasting can help countries and decision-makers make plans and decisions in returning to normal life. In this regard, it is needless to mention the criticality and importance of accurate forecasting. In this study, daily cases of COVID-19 are estimated based on mobility data, considering the proven human-tohuman transmission factor. The data of seven countries, namely Brazil, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom (UK), and the United States of America (USA), are used to train and test the models. These countries represent around 57% of the total cases in the whole world. In this context, various machine learning algorithms are implemented to obtain accurate predictions. Unlike most studies, the predicted case numbers are evaluated against the actual values to reveal the methods' real performance and determine the most effective methods. The results indicated that it is unlikely to propose the same algorithm for forecasting COVID-19 cases for all countries. Also, mobility data can be enough the predict the COVID-19 cases in the USA.
Anahtar Kelime:

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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APA Sahin M (2020). Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility. , 144 - 150.
Chicago Sahin Mehmet Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility. (2020): 144 - 150.
MLA Sahin Mehmet Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility. , 2020, ss.144 - 150.
AMA Sahin M Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility. . 2020; 144 - 150.
Vancouver Sahin M Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility. . 2020; 144 - 150.
IEEE Sahin M "Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility." , ss.144 - 150, 2020.
ISNAD Sahin, Mehmet. "Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility". (2020), 144-150.
APA Sahin M (2020). Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility. Manas Journal of Engineering, 8(2), 144 - 150.
Chicago Sahin Mehmet Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility. Manas Journal of Engineering 8, no.2 (2020): 144 - 150.
MLA Sahin Mehmet Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility. Manas Journal of Engineering, vol.8, no.2, 2020, ss.144 - 150.
AMA Sahin M Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility. Manas Journal of Engineering. 2020; 8(2): 144 - 150.
Vancouver Sahin M Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility. Manas Journal of Engineering. 2020; 8(2): 144 - 150.
IEEE Sahin M "Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility." Manas Journal of Engineering, 8, ss.144 - 150, 2020.
ISNAD Sahin, Mehmet. "Forecasting COVID-19 Cases based on mobility". Manas Journal of Engineering 8/2 (2020), 144-150.
Sayfa Oluşturulma Tarihi
23-04-2024 20:59

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