Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis
Yıl: 2021 Cilt: 27 Sayı: 5 Sayfa Aralığı: 547 - 557 Metin Dili: İngilizce DOI: 10.9775/kvfd.2020.25171 İndeks Tarihi: 23-01-2022
Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis
Öz: The logistic regression is a popular method to model the probability of a categorical outcome given as a dependent variable. However, the possibilistic logistic regression can be preferred instead of classical logistic regression when the dependent variable has uncertainity. The aim of this study is to use the possibilistic logistic regression on animal husbandry examining the theoretical foundations of the method based on fuzzy logic approach. A total of 90 cows were enrolled in the study and the average milk yield in 305 days was predicted by animal’s weight, breed of the animal, age in lactation, number of milkings per day and the milking seasons of cows belonging to different breeds. The Mean Degree of Memberships (MDM) and the Mean of Squared Error (MSE) indices were calculated to decide the goodness of fit of the model. The index values were found as MDM=0.896 and MSE=4.871, respectively. It was shown that the model is fit and is succesfull to predict the average milk yield. It can be concluded that the model can provide the businesses on lactation milk yield production an efficient and accurate prediction results.
Anahtar Kelime: Possibilistic Lojistik Regresyon Analizi İle Laktasyon Süt Verimi Tahmini
Öz: Lojistik regresyon analizi, bağımlı değişken olarak verilen özelliğin kategorilerini tahmin etmek için kullanılır. Ancak, bağımlı değişken belirsiz olduğunda klasik lojistik rgeresyon yerine posibilistik lojistik regresyon yöntemi tercih edilebilir. Bu çalışmanın amacı, süt sığırcılığında teorik altyapısı ile birlikte bulanık mantık yaklaşımı temelli posibilistik lojistik regresyon yöntemini kullanmaktır. Çalışmaya toplam 90 inekten elde edilen bilgiler dahil edildi ve hayvanın ağırlığı, hayvanın ırkı, hayvanın laktasyon yaşı, günlük sağım sayısı ve sağım mevsimi bilgileri kullanılarak ortalama süt verimi tahmin edildi. Modelin yeterliliğine karar verebilmek için ortalama üyelik derecesi (MDM) ve hata kareler ortalaması (MSE) indeks değerleri hesaplandı. İndeks değerleri sırasıyla MDM=0.896 ve MSE=4.871 olarak hesaplandı. Bu değerlere göre modelin uyumunun iyi olduğuna karar verildi. Bulgular, modelin laktasyon süt verimini tahminlemede etkin ve güvenilir sonuçlara sahip olduğunu göstermektedir.
Anahtar Kelime: Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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| APA | TOPUZ D (2021). Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis. , 547 - 557. 10.9775/kvfd.2020.25171 |
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| MLA | TOPUZ Derviş Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis. , 2021, ss.547 - 557. 10.9775/kvfd.2020.25171 |
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| Vancouver | TOPUZ D Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis. . 2021; 547 - 557. 10.9775/kvfd.2020.25171 |
| IEEE | TOPUZ D "Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis." , ss.547 - 557, 2021. 10.9775/kvfd.2020.25171 |
| ISNAD | TOPUZ, Derviş. "Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis". (2021), 547-557. https://doi.org/10.9775/kvfd.2020.25171 |
| APA | TOPUZ D (2021). Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis. Kafkas Üniversitesi Veteriner Fakültesi Dergisi, 27(5), 547 - 557. 10.9775/kvfd.2020.25171 |
| Chicago | TOPUZ Derviş Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis. Kafkas Üniversitesi Veteriner Fakültesi Dergisi 27, no.5 (2021): 547 - 557. 10.9775/kvfd.2020.25171 |
| MLA | TOPUZ Derviş Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis. Kafkas Üniversitesi Veteriner Fakültesi Dergisi, vol.27, no.5, 2021, ss.547 - 557. 10.9775/kvfd.2020.25171 |
| AMA | TOPUZ D Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis. Kafkas Üniversitesi Veteriner Fakültesi Dergisi. 2021; 27(5): 547 - 557. 10.9775/kvfd.2020.25171 |
| Vancouver | TOPUZ D Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis. Kafkas Üniversitesi Veteriner Fakültesi Dergisi. 2021; 27(5): 547 - 557. 10.9775/kvfd.2020.25171 |
| IEEE | TOPUZ D "Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis." Kafkas Üniversitesi Veteriner Fakültesi Dergisi, 27, ss.547 - 557, 2021. 10.9775/kvfd.2020.25171 |
| ISNAD | TOPUZ, Derviş. "Lactation Milk Yield Prediction with Possibilistic Logistic Regression Analysis". Kafkas Üniversitesi Veteriner Fakültesi Dergisi 27/5 (2021), 547-557. https://doi.org/10.9775/kvfd.2020.25171 |
