An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2

Koray Altun, (Bursa Teknik Üniversitesi, Endüstri Mühendisliği Bölümü, Bursa, Türkiye)
Serkan ALTUNTAŞ, (Yıldız Teknik Üniversitesi, Endüstri Mühendisliği Bölümü, İstanbul, Türkiye)
Türkay DERELİ (Hasan Kalyoncu Üniversitesi, Gaziantep, Türkiye)
Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics
1 0
Yıl: 2021 Cilt: 50 Sayı: 5 Sayfa Aralığı: 1548 - 1559 Metin Dili: İngilizce DOI: 10.15672/hujms.751734 İndeks Tarihi: 29-07-2022

An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2

Öz:
It is important to recognize that the dynamics of each country are different. Therefore, the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic necessitates each country to act locally, but keep thinking globally. Governments have a responsibility to manage their limited resources optimally while struggling with this pandemic. Managing the trade-offs regarding these dynamics requires some sophisticated models. ``Agent-based simulation'' is a powerful tool to create such kind of models. Correspondingly, this study addresses the spread of COVID-19 employing an interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) model. This model is based on the scale-free networks (incorporating (10,000) nodes) and it runs some experimental scenarios to analyze the main effects and the interactions of ``average-node-degree'', ``initial-outbreak-size'', ``spread-chance'', ``recovery-chance'', and ``gain-resistance'' factors on ``average-duration (of the pandemic last)'', ``average-percentage of infected'', ``maximum-percentage of infected'', and ``the expected peak-time''. Obtained results from this work can assist determining the correct tactical responses of partial lockdown.
Anahtar Kelime: Agent-based simulation Multi-agent SIR model SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19)

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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APA Altun K, Altuntas S, Dereli T (2021). An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2. , 1548 - 1559. 10.15672/hujms.751734
Chicago Altun Koray,Altuntas Serkan,Dereli Türkay An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2. (2021): 1548 - 1559. 10.15672/hujms.751734
MLA Altun Koray,Altuntas Serkan,Dereli Türkay An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2. , 2021, ss.1548 - 1559. 10.15672/hujms.751734
AMA Altun K,Altuntas S,Dereli T An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2. . 2021; 1548 - 1559. 10.15672/hujms.751734
Vancouver Altun K,Altuntas S,Dereli T An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2. . 2021; 1548 - 1559. 10.15672/hujms.751734
IEEE Altun K,Altuntas S,Dereli T "An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2." , ss.1548 - 1559, 2021. 10.15672/hujms.751734
ISNAD Altun, Koray vd. "An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2". (2021), 1548-1559. https://doi.org/10.15672/hujms.751734
APA Altun K, Altuntas S, Dereli T (2021). An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 50(5), 1548 - 1559. 10.15672/hujms.751734
Chicago Altun Koray,Altuntas Serkan,Dereli Türkay An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics 50, no.5 (2021): 1548 - 1559. 10.15672/hujms.751734
MLA Altun Koray,Altuntas Serkan,Dereli Türkay An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, vol.50, no.5, 2021, ss.1548 - 1559. 10.15672/hujms.751734
AMA Altun K,Altuntas S,Dereli T An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics. 2021; 50(5): 1548 - 1559. 10.15672/hujms.751734
Vancouver Altun K,Altuntas S,Dereli T An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics. 2021; 50(5): 1548 - 1559. 10.15672/hujms.751734
IEEE Altun K,Altuntas S,Dereli T "An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2." Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 50, ss.1548 - 1559, 2021. 10.15672/hujms.751734
ISNAD Altun, Koray vd. "An interaction-oriented multi-agent SIR model to assess the spread of SARS-CoV-2". Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics 50/5 (2021), 1548-1559. https://doi.org/10.15672/hujms.751734
Sayfa Oluşturulma Tarihi
24-04-2024 12:37

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