ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER

Levent ÖZBEK, (Ankara Üniversitesi, İstatistik Bölümü, Ankara, Türkiye)
Hakan DEMİRTAŞ (Illinois Üniversitesi, Epidemiyoloji ve Biyoistatistik Anabilim Dalı, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri)
Eskişehir Technical University Journal of Science and and Technology A- Applied Sciences and Engineering
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Yıl: 2021 Cilt: 22 Sayı: 3 Sayfa Aralığı: 239 - 259 Metin Dili: İngilizce DOI: 10.18038/estubtda.840307 İndeks Tarihi: 16-06-2022

ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER

Öz:
In this study, cumulative and daily cases are estimated online using discrete-time Gompertz model (DTGM) and Adaptive Kalman Filter (AKF) based on the total COVID-19 cases between February 29-July 28, 2020 in USA, Germany, India, Russia, Italy, Spain, France, United Kingdom, Brazil. Employing the data collected between February 29 and July 28, 2020, it is showed that the DTGM in conjunction with AKF provides a good analysis tool for modeling the daily cases made using the in terms of mean square error (MSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and $R^2$ .
Anahtar Kelime:

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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APA özbek l, Demirtas H (2021). ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER. , 239 - 259. 10.18038/estubtda.840307
Chicago özbek levent,Demirtas Hakan ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER. (2021): 239 - 259. 10.18038/estubtda.840307
MLA özbek levent,Demirtas Hakan ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER. , 2021, ss.239 - 259. 10.18038/estubtda.840307
AMA özbek l,Demirtas H ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER. . 2021; 239 - 259. 10.18038/estubtda.840307
Vancouver özbek l,Demirtas H ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER. . 2021; 239 - 259. 10.18038/estubtda.840307
IEEE özbek l,Demirtas H "ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER." , ss.239 - 259, 2021. 10.18038/estubtda.840307
ISNAD özbek, levent - Demirtas, Hakan. "ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER". (2021), 239-259. https://doi.org/10.18038/estubtda.840307
APA özbek l, Demirtas H (2021). ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER. Eskişehir Technical University Journal of Science and and Technology A- Applied Sciences and Engineering, 22(3), 239 - 259. 10.18038/estubtda.840307
Chicago özbek levent,Demirtas Hakan ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER. Eskişehir Technical University Journal of Science and and Technology A- Applied Sciences and Engineering 22, no.3 (2021): 239 - 259. 10.18038/estubtda.840307
MLA özbek levent,Demirtas Hakan ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER. Eskişehir Technical University Journal of Science and and Technology A- Applied Sciences and Engineering, vol.22, no.3, 2021, ss.239 - 259. 10.18038/estubtda.840307
AMA özbek l,Demirtas H ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER. Eskişehir Technical University Journal of Science and and Technology A- Applied Sciences and Engineering. 2021; 22(3): 239 - 259. 10.18038/estubtda.840307
Vancouver özbek l,Demirtas H ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER. Eskişehir Technical University Journal of Science and and Technology A- Applied Sciences and Engineering. 2021; 22(3): 239 - 259. 10.18038/estubtda.840307
IEEE özbek l,Demirtas H "ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER." Eskişehir Technical University Journal of Science and and Technology A- Applied Sciences and Engineering, 22, ss.239 - 259, 2021. 10.18038/estubtda.840307
ISNAD özbek, levent - Demirtas, Hakan. "ESTIMATION OF DAILY CASES OF COVID-19 AND REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN USA, GERMANY, INDIA, RUSSIA, ITALY, SPAIN, FRANCE, UNITED KINGDOM, BRAZIL USING DISCRETE TIME GOMPERTZ MODEL AND ADAPTIVE KALMAN FILTER". Eskişehir Technical University Journal of Science and and Technology A- Applied Sciences and Engineering 22/3 (2021), 239-259. https://doi.org/10.18038/estubtda.840307
Sayfa Oluşturulma Tarihi
24-04-2024 20:58

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