Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model
Yıl: 2022 Cilt: 44 Sayı: 1 Sayfa Aralığı: 63 - 67 Metin Dili: İngilizce DOI: 10.14744/etd.2021.32855 İndeks Tarihi: 20-06-2022
Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model
Öz: Objective: The Mediterranean island of Cyprus has a high rate of human transit as a result of tourism, human trafficking,
and migration, which could contribute to the rate of HIV infection. The island is divided into 2 states – the northern portion
is mainly populated by Turkish-Cypriots, and the southern portion is populated by Greek-Cypriots. The aim of this study was
to assess the dynamics of HIV infection in both segments of Cyprus using a mathematical model.
Materials and Methods: Data of HIV-positive individuals diagnosed during the period 1997–2018 in northern Cyprus
were obtained from the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus Ministry of Health database, yielding a total of 129 cases, and
data for the southern region, the Republic of Cyprus, were retrieved from a European Centre for Disease Prevention and
Control (ECDC) 2013 report and ECDC/World Health Organization 2017 data. The total number of reported HIV infections was 1057. A mathematical model was used to evaluate the current and future HIV infection rate.
Results: Stability analysis of the equilibrium point – disease-free or endemic – was conducted using the Lyapunov function. The
basic reproduction number, represented as R0, is a measure of the potential for disease spread and serves as a threshold for
stability. The R0 value was 0.83 in northern Cyprus and 0.040 in southern Cyprus. An R0 indicated a disease-free equilibrium.
Conclusion: The calculations suggest that there is no current HIV epidemic on either part of the island; however, the model
predicted a significant increase in the near future.
Anahtar Kelime: Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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| APA | Sultanoglu N, SAAD F, Sanlidag T, Hıncal E, SAYAN M, Kaymakamzade B, süer k (2022). Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model. , 63 - 67. 10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
| Chicago | Sultanoglu Nazife,SAAD FAROUK,Sanlidag Tamer,Hıncal Evren,SAYAN MURAT,Kaymakamzade Bilgen,süer kaya Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model. (2022): 63 - 67. 10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
| MLA | Sultanoglu Nazife,SAAD FAROUK,Sanlidag Tamer,Hıncal Evren,SAYAN MURAT,Kaymakamzade Bilgen,süer kaya Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model. , 2022, ss.63 - 67. 10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
| AMA | Sultanoglu N,SAAD F,Sanlidag T,Hıncal E,SAYAN M,Kaymakamzade B,süer k Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model. . 2022; 63 - 67. 10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
| Vancouver | Sultanoglu N,SAAD F,Sanlidag T,Hıncal E,SAYAN M,Kaymakamzade B,süer k Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model. . 2022; 63 - 67. 10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
| IEEE | Sultanoglu N,SAAD F,Sanlidag T,Hıncal E,SAYAN M,Kaymakamzade B,süer k "Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model." , ss.63 - 67, 2022. 10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
| ISNAD | Sultanoglu, Nazife vd. "Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model". (2022), 63-67. https://doi.org/10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
| APA | Sultanoglu N, SAAD F, Sanlidag T, Hıncal E, SAYAN M, Kaymakamzade B, süer k (2022). Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model. Erciyes Medical Journal, 44(1), 63 - 67. 10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
| Chicago | Sultanoglu Nazife,SAAD FAROUK,Sanlidag Tamer,Hıncal Evren,SAYAN MURAT,Kaymakamzade Bilgen,süer kaya Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model. Erciyes Medical Journal 44, no.1 (2022): 63 - 67. 10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
| MLA | Sultanoglu Nazife,SAAD FAROUK,Sanlidag Tamer,Hıncal Evren,SAYAN MURAT,Kaymakamzade Bilgen,süer kaya Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model. Erciyes Medical Journal, vol.44, no.1, 2022, ss.63 - 67. 10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
| AMA | Sultanoglu N,SAAD F,Sanlidag T,Hıncal E,SAYAN M,Kaymakamzade B,süer k Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model. Erciyes Medical Journal. 2022; 44(1): 63 - 67. 10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
| Vancouver | Sultanoglu N,SAAD F,Sanlidag T,Hıncal E,SAYAN M,Kaymakamzade B,süer k Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model. Erciyes Medical Journal. 2022; 44(1): 63 - 67. 10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
| IEEE | Sultanoglu N,SAAD F,Sanlidag T,Hıncal E,SAYAN M,Kaymakamzade B,süer k "Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model." Erciyes Medical Journal, 44, ss.63 - 67, 2022. 10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
| ISNAD | Sultanoglu, Nazife vd. "Analysis of HIV Infection in Cyprus Using a Mathematical Model". Erciyes Medical Journal 44/1 (2022), 63-67. https://doi.org/10.14744/etd.2021.32855 |
