Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach

TEMURLENK, M. Sinan; Başar, Selim

Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach

Selim BAŞAR, (Atatürk Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü, Erzurum, Türkiye)

M. Sinan TEMURLENK (Atatürk Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü, Erzurum, Türkiye)

Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi

16 0

Yıl: 2007 Cilt: 21 Sayı: 2 Sayfa Aralığı: 95 - 104 Metin Dili: Türkçe İndeks Tarihi: 29-07-2022

Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach

Öz:

Türkiye için kamu müdahalelerinin dışlama etkisinin araştırılması: Bir yapısal VAR yaklaşımı1980’li yıllarla birlikte Türkiye’deki kamu kesiminin küçültülmesi süregelen tartışmalardan birisidir. Bu tartışmaların odağını kamunun ekonomideki ağırlığının özel sektör üzerindeki dışlama etkisi oluşturmaktadır. Bu çalışmanın temel amacı 1980 sonrası dönem için Türkiye’deki kamu harcamalarının özel yatırımlar üzerindeki dışlama etkisinin araştırılmasıdır. Yapısal VAR modeli eş-dönemli parametre tahminlerine göre, kamu harcamaları özel yatırımlar üzerinde dışlama etkisini destekleyecek biçimde negatif bir etkiye sahiptir. Sonuçlar istatistik olarak anlamlı olmasına rağmen, dışlama etkisinin düşük düzeyde gerçekleştiği görülmüştür. Düşük dışlama etkisi nedeniyle, Türkiye’de özel yatırımları artırmanın uygun yolunun kamu harcamalarının kısılması olmadığı sonucuna varılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelime: dışlama etkisi özel yatırımlar yapısal vektör ardışık bağlanımı (yvab) Türkiye kamu harcamaları inceleme

Konular: İşletme İktisat

Öz:

After 1980, the debate about whether the government side of Turkish economy should become smaller is a continuing matter. The focus of this debate is crowding-out effect of government economic policy on private sector. The main purpose of this study is to investigate crowding-out effect of government spending on private sector investment in Turkey for the period after 1980. According to structural VAR model contemporaneous parameter estimation results government spending has a negative effect on real private investment, which is in support of crowding-out effect. Although these results statistically confirm crowding-out effect, this effect is relatively small. Because of the small crowding-out effect, it can be concluded that the proper way to increase the private investment in Turkey is not to reduce the government spending.

Anahtar Kelime: structural vector autoregression (svar) Turkey public expenditures investigation crowding-out private investment

Konular: İşletme İktisat

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Bibliyografik

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APA	Başar S, TEMURLENK M (2007). Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach. , 95 - 104.
Chicago	Başar Selim,TEMURLENK M. Sinan Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach. (2007): 95 - 104.
MLA	Başar Selim,TEMURLENK M. Sinan Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach. , 2007, ss.95 - 104.
AMA	Başar S,TEMURLENK M Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach. . 2007; 95 - 104.
Vancouver	Başar S,TEMURLENK M Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach. . 2007; 95 - 104.
IEEE	Başar S,TEMURLENK M "Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach." , ss.95 - 104, 2007.
ISNAD	Başar, Selim - TEMURLENK, M. Sinan. "Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach". (2007), 95-104.

APA	Başar S, TEMURLENK M (2007). Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 21(2), 95 - 104.
Chicago	Başar Selim,TEMURLENK M. Sinan Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 21, no.2 (2007): 95 - 104.
MLA	Başar Selim,TEMURLENK M. Sinan Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, vol.21, no.2, 2007, ss.95 - 104.
AMA	Başar S,TEMURLENK M Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. 2007; 21(2): 95 - 104.
Vancouver	Başar S,TEMURLENK M Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. 2007; 21(2): 95 - 104.
IEEE	Başar S,TEMURLENK M "Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach." Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 21, ss.95 - 104, 2007.
ISNAD	Başar, Selim - TEMURLENK, M. Sinan. "Investigating Crowding-Out Effect of Government Spending for Turkey: A Structural Var Approach". Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 21/2 (2007), 95-104.